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How Devolution Has Shaped Young Scottish People’s Views on the UK Union

Written by Stephen Bailey.

There’s now a generation of young UK citizens who have grown up and had their formative experiences and influences entirely since the introduction of legislative devolution in the late 1990s.

They have lived their entire lives under the current constitutional arrangements and the subsequent constitutional crisis they have provoked, never knowing anything different.

This can have a negative effect on their outlook as regards constitutional matters. After all, they haven’t lived through the experiences that shaped previous generations’ outlook on constitutional matters such as a desire to maintain the UK.

Neither have they been made aware of the real issues that lie behind the UK Constitution and a desire to keep the UK together. They have had separatist extremists bombard them with skewed propaganda that manipulates them into a distorted, historically-inaccurate view that to be patriotic they have to hate the UK.

They are being forced and manipulated down a path that could eventually lead to them erroneously backing ‘independence’ and they are being deprived of any kind of balanced outlook.

The increasingly cultish and authoritarian SNP seem pathologically intent on acting like the totalitarian regimes of 1930s and 40s Europe. They are indoctrinating the young, so they are incapable of thinking independently so that the SNP can control them and manipulate them into backing and voting for ‘independence’.

This situation should greatly concern anybody who wants to maintain the UK.

It is an urgent task to counter this undemocratic, sinister manipulation by the SNP (and the anti-UK separatists in other parts of the UK, Wales and Ulster) and educate the young in the real issues surrounding constitutional matters.

A STABLE UK UNION

During the period before the introduction of legislative devolution in the late 1990s, the whole of UK culture and politics was, in the main, reflective of a pan-UK ethos.

Anybody over forty years of age will have been brought up in an era when the concept of a unitary (single) UK with the House of Commons as the national legislature and the House of Lords as the revising chamber was fairly solid – with perhaps the exception of Ulster (‘Northern Ireland’), where a minority of the population wanted control by the Dublin Government.

On the mainland UK, there was occasional constitutional uncertainty and danger.

For example, the debates on devolution in the mid to late 70s, during the Callaghan Labour administration, provided an occasional moment of uncertainty over the status of the UK Constitution. There had also been some committees set up in Parliament in the 1960s to look into constitutional change, which were not acted on. But, by and large, the constitutional question was settled.

In schools, colleges, and universities, young UK citizens were taught about the UK’s millennia-old history and traditions. Even though there are local differences within the Anglo-Celtic story of the British Isles, generally speaking, there was a homogeneous UK culture and historical narrative that the vast majority of UK citizens subscribed to, in varying degrees and, perhaps, with a few caveats here and there.

There were other versions of UK history and of course, since the 1960s, some elements had been increasingly active in their attempts to demolish what they sneeringly dismissed as the ‘Whig version’ of UK history. But the majority of her citizens saw the UK as a single unitary entity with a common UK-wide culture, some regional variations notwithstanding.

Importantly, this belief in a pan-UK culture was transmitted from the older generations down to the young, and so in this way, the UK remained a unified political entity as the young learnt what it meant to be a UK citizen and were imbued with a sense of, and a healthy (but not excessive or disproportionate) pride in, concept of a unified United Kingdom, rather than just their own particular part of it.

THE FRINGE MOVES TO THE MAINSTREAM

Some people weren’t satisfied with the UK’s constitutional make-up like the SNP in Scotland, Plaid Cymru in Wales and IRA/Sinn Fein plus the SDLP in Ulster, but they were mostly composed of fringe eccentrics and student ideologues with no experience of how the real world works.

Consequently, these people enjoyed risible levels of support from the UK public and were no more credible than the Monster Raving Loony Party. They were rightly consigned to the margins of UK politics.

The vast majority of people in the UK either believed, or went along with, the concept of a unitary United Kingdom (i.e. a single country) with legislative sovereignty invested in the UK National Parliament at Westminster (and ultimate political sovereignty (or the ability to decide who governs the country) residing with the electorate across the entire UK).

So it can be said that up to the late 1990s, the UK’s Constitutional arrangements were stable and whilst some minority dissent existed, the vast majority of the public were either happy with, or went along with, these arrangements. They worked well, with perhaps a few caveats here and there, but nothing was seriously wrong with the UK’s Constitution.

Except for a few minority extremists, eccentrics and cranks, this situation persisted until the late 1990s.

THE RISE OF ANTI-UK SEPARATISM

Anti-UK separatism has existed since the Union’s inception, but before the advent of legislative devolution in the late 1990s it was a tiny, extremely unimportant group of extremists and eccentrics, and was perceived as such by the vast majority of people in the UK.

They made attempts to get their ideas across, but got more or less nowhere as people in the UK were generally far too sensible to believe what were (and still are), unrealistic theories with no practicable viability.

They had limited electoral success (extremely limited in Plaid Cymru’s case in Wales) and were prevented from forcing their unwanted ideas on an unwilling UK public by the nature of the UK’s legislature; the Houses of Commons and Lords were the only law-making and revising chambers and the few nationalists that got elected to office in the Commons were contained by the overwhelming majority of Unionist MPs in the Chamber.

LEGISLATIVE DEVOLUTION

It was the introduction of legislative devolution by Tony Blair’s New Labour in the late 1990s that signalled the end of this era of stability.

New Labour ushered in a period of unparalleled instability and ill-considered constitutional change that was to have an extremely negative effect on the UK’s politics and society.

The New Labour government, which came into power after the General Election of 1997, was under the severely mistaken impression that the constitution of the UK was broken and needed fixing, a view that was not shared by the vast majority of the public.

Overall, they wanted to gerrymander elections by giving Scotland its own devolved legislature, so ensuring that she would vote Labour in perpetuity. Scotland’s voting power in the UK Union is decisive – like California’s in the USA. It can decide who will govern the entire UK.

They quickly set about putting their plans into action.

After a softening up campaign in which the real issues behind legislative devolution were either fudged or omitted completely – the most obvious of which was one Labour politician promising that legislative devolution would ‘kill nationalism stone dead’ – referendums were held in Scotland and Wales in 1997 and in Northern Ireland in 1998, which, not surprisingly, considering the preceding propaganda and misinformation campaign, returned ‘yes’ results.

All three constituent parts of the UK were then given their own devolved executives. Scotland received a Parliament and Wales and Northern Ireland got Assemblies. (The Welsh Assembly was later renamed to ‘Parliament’, then the ‘Senedd’).

This plan to secure perpetual political hegemony backfired on Labour as they were displaced as the dominant force in UK politics by the anti-UK SNP in the Holyrood election of 2007, as well as being all but wiped out in the House of Commons (though they later revived at the 2024 UK General Election).

It’s at this juncture that the UK’s traditions of unitary government, began to become eroded by separatist forces that deliberately set out to destroy the UK identity among the young because they desired to loosen the bonds of Union, and eventually destroy the UK as a single nation altogether.

These separatists adopted an extremely aggressive approach towards their goal of independence.

EDUCATING THE YOUNG

One method they employed to achieve their objective was to indoctrinate the young with biased propaganda that distorts the truth behind UK history and pushes a synthetic sense of grievance that Scotland was the victim of English imperialism-the Braveheart myth.

This bodes poorly for the future of a unitary UK and is extremely worrying for all who want to maintain the UK.

Inaction, complacency and apathy on this issue are just not an option and are extremely dangerous at this juncture. It’s the urgent task of all who want to maintain the UK Union to stand up and challenge this pernicious, cultish attempt by modern aggressive anti-UK separatism to subvert our country by undermining belief in its future among younger generations.

Let us teach the young the real narrative of the shared values that shape our nation and help create a truly united pan-UK that will exist into the future.

LIE AFTER LIE FROM THE SNP: NO, SWINNEY, SCOTLAND DOESN’T ‘SUBSIDISE THE REST OF THE UK’, AS THE FOLLOWING DATA PROVES

Written by Stephen Bailey.

The annual ‘Government Expenditure and Revenue Scotland’ Reports (GERS) 2023-24 and 2024-25 are available for analysis and are extremely revealing for several reasons. According to the Scottish Executive’s (Holyrood) own website (see (1) or (2) in ‘the ‘Sources’ section below), GERS is described thus:

‘Q: Who produces GERS? ‘A: GERS is produced by Scottish Government statisticians. It is designated as a National Statistics product, which means that it is produced independently of Scottish Ministers and has been assessed by the UK Statistics Authority as being produced in line with the Code of Practice for Statistics. This means the statistics have been found to meet user needs, to be methodologically sound, explained well and produced free of political interference.’

So, GERS is produced by the Scottish Executive’s own economists and statisticians and published under the authority of the Scottish Government’s Chief Statistician (’produced by Scottish Government’), is ‘methodologically sound’ (provides an accurate picture of the state of Scotland’s public expenditure and revenue finances) and is impartial in its analysis (‘produced free of political interference’) BY THE SNP’s OWN ADMISSION (please remember this for future reference).

The 2023-24 and latest 2024-25 GERS Reports (see (1) and (2) in the ‘Sources’ section below) reveal the following salient hard, objective, verifiable facts:

For the 2023-24 period:

Being in the UK meant £22.7 billion extra per year for Scotland’s public services.
— Public spending in Scotland was £2,417 higher per person than the UK average, helping to protect the NHS, schools, and communities. £20,418 was spent on average for every single person in Scotland.
— Scotland made up around 8.2% of the total UK population, but 9.1% of UK public spending was in Scotland.
— Revenue generated: £88.546 billion. Public purse requirement: £111.230 billion-Scotland’s deficit was therefore £22.684 billion.
— Including North Sea oil and gas revenues, Scotland had a net fiscal deficit of £22.68 billion in 2023-24, compared with just over £18 billion the previous year. As a percentage of Scotland’s GDP, the deficit had increased from 8.4% to 10.4%, whereas the UK deficit as a whole fell during the same period.

For the 2024-25 period:

-Scotland’s total public sector expenditure in 2024-25 was estimated at £117.6 billion. Scotland’s total public sector revenue in 2024-25 was £91.4 billion, leaving a total deficit of £26.5 BILLION Pounds.
– Scotland’s deficit has now increased by almost £10 billion in just two years, putting the final nail in the coffin of John Swinney’s Scottish ‘independence’ dream.

– Scotland’s net fiscal deficit was 11.7% of GDP, with this growing larger every year and ‘underlining the collective economic strength of the United Kingdom and how Scotland benefits from the redistribution of wealth inside the UK.’

– Including North Sea oil and gas revenues, the current net fiscal deficit of £26.5bn compared to £22.68bn in 2023/24 and just over £18bn in the year before that.

– While the deficit as a percentage of Scotland’s GDP increased from 10.4% to 11.7%, the UK deficit also increased slightly but is still less than half, at 5.1%. Total Scottish executive revenue increased from £88.5bn to £91.4bn but is still not enough for Scotland to survive without the UK Government.

– SNP expenditure per person in Scotland is also £2,669 higher than the rest of the UK, with this known as the ‘union dividend’. It is an increase of £358 on the previous year [£2,311 in 2023-24]. Scotland accounts for around 8.2% of the UK population, yet 9.1% of UK public spending is in Scotland.
— Since 2014, when Scotland voted to stay in the UK, Scotland benefited from £195.5 billion of extra spending for her public services.

The GERS figures can be used to explain Scotland’s past economic performance (as an integral part of the UK) to inform understanding of the future choices a possible independent Scotland would face.

They describe the starting point (the ‘run-rate’) from where Scotland can start to consider the possible impact and fiscal implications of independence. The GERS figures provide the foundations on top of which any credible economic case for independence must be built.

To suggest that how Scotland’s fiscal balance would look based on the taxes she’s used to raising and the public spending she’s used to receiving says ‘nothing’, ‘almost nothing’ or only ‘relatively little’ about an independent Scotland’s potential finances is frankly insulting to the intelligence of Scots.

In 2023 (the last full-year figures are available for both Scotland and England), Scotland had an estimated nominal gross domestic product (GDP) of £218 billion, including oil and gas extraction (which represents only a tiny fraction of that total, £4.9 billion according to the 2023-24 GERS Report). GERS 2023-24 also reports that Scotland’s total revenue was £88.546 billion (See (1) in ‘Sources’ for full details).

By comparison, Greater London ALONE (i.e. excluding the London metropolitan area) produced just over £500 BILLION (half a TRILLION) pounds, around 1/4 of the UK’s annual GDP of £2.274 TRILLION for that year. (3) and (4)

The London metropolitan area produced around £1 TRILLION in 2023, so the GDP of the entire London area was slightly more than £1.5 TRILLION. Greater London’s economy alone therefore is more than THREE times the size of the ENTIRE Scottish economy, and London’s as a whole is over NINE TIMES BIGGER THAN SCOTLAND’S TOTAL GDP. (3) and (4)

It generates more revenue per head than any other part of the UK. In fact, every county in England has a higher GDP than Scotland’s total, as even the smallest English counties exceed Scotland’s total GDP. As a whole, the UK‘s GDP (total wealth produced) is JUST OVER EIGHT TIMES BIGGER THAN SCOTLAND’S TOTAL GDP.

The myth of the oil argument

The oil argument is yet another SNP-sponsored myth, like their often-repeated ‘Scotland subsidises England’ assertion.

The McCrone Report on the oil fields around the UK was written in 1974, more than 50 years ago. Profitable oil reserves have largely dried up in the following years. Top petrochemical experts have stated that there are around ten years of profitable oil left to extract in the oil fields situated around the seas of the UK. See: https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/scottish-independence/11046740/Sir-Ian-Wood-15-years-of-oil-left-before-independent-Scotland-spending-cuts.html

What’s more, the new oil fields found to the West of Scotland are situated too deep in the seabed to be easily profitably extracted. The cost of extraction would be greater than the revenue gained from selling the oil, so no sensible company would be prepared to participate in such an unprofitable, unpredictable venture.

Considering the objective facts above, it’s clear that England, or the UK, doesn’t steal Scotland’s money.

In fact, the rUK (England, Wales, and Ulster) is Scotland’s biggest single customer by a very substantial margin, as 60%, worth £55.4 billion, of Scotland’s exports went to the rest of the UK in 2023, nearly FOUR TIMES her trade with Europe and very substantially more than her combined trade with both the EU and the rest of the world combined (£37.7 billion).

Scotland pays her share into the collective UK pot, as England, Wales and Ulster does and that significantly increases the UK’s overall economic standing in the world by several places. Scotland certainly DOESN’T subsidise or prop up the rest of the UK, but we’d all be worse off without her in the Union. Economically, the constituent parts of the UK are undeniably substantially better off together. So, the Union is mutually financially beneficial to the entire UK (without even mentioning the many other areas of mutual benefit, such as politically, socially, culturally, militarily et al.) That money is then distributed around the parts of the UK, dependent on need, and Scotland gets MORE public spending per head thanks to fiscal transfers than England, Wales, or Ulster.

The Scottish Executive’s (Holyrood) own annual economic report, GERS, demonstrates how much the UK Government helps to support the country’s finances and is a serious setback for the SNP’s attempts to break up the UK as it highlights the complete lack of credibility of their economic plans for separating Scotland from the rest of the UK.

Scotland gets an excellent deal out of the Union. Scotland’s current (2024-25) deficit (the difference between what she raises and what she spends) is equivalent to 11.7% of Scotland’s economy (measured by Gross Domestic Product).

By comparison, the UK as a whole has a current (2024-25) deficit of only 5.2% of GDP. That means, by sharing economic risks with the rest of the UK, Scotland has a smaller deficit. Added to this, with just over 8.2% of the population, Scotland pays 8.6% of tax but receives 9.2% of spending.

Being part of the UK means £106.6 billion was spent on Scotland’s public services in 2022-23, the highest ever recorded expenditure in Scotland.

The myth of Scotland copying other small countries after ‘independence’ – SNP are CONFUSED ON A ‘SOVEREIGN FUND’

The SNP’s 2018 Growth Commission Report was yet another complete dud.

Its conclusions that allegedly drew on the experiences of other small countries like New Zealand and Norway, and which asserted that a Scotland separated from the rest of the UK could build up a similar-sized sovereign fund, were flatly contradicted by these countries themselves.

It was pointed out to the SNP that it took these countries 30 years to build up a sizeable fund and their economies were of a different kind. Therefore, the SNP were comparing apples and oranges. Once again, the SNP was wrong on the assumptions behind their plans for ‘independence’.

For example, see https://www.scotsman.com/news/politics/new-zealand-model-may-not-be-right-for-scotland-warns-kiwi-mp-1428851

And: https://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/3280030/Alex-Salmond-refuses-to-back-down-after-Norway-says-were-not-like-Scotland..html

In fact, Norway has repeatedly rejected comparisons between its economy and an independent Scotland, emphasising significant structural and historical differences:

* Norway’s government, including former Foreign Minister Jonas Gahr Store, stated that ‘comparisons between Norway and Scotland have some clear limitations’, noting that Norway has been independent for over a century and took decades to build its oil wealth and sovereign fund.
* Norway’s oil revenues are largely channelled into a sovereign wealth fund (worth ~$1.3 trillion), not directly into the national budget, unlike Scotland’s current fiscal model.
* The Norwegian government did not bail out its banks during financial crises, contradicting SNP claims that an independent Scotland could emulate this model.
* Norway’s high public ownership of key industries (energy, banking, telecom) and progressive taxation are not mirrored in Scotland’s current economic setup.
* Recent reports highlight that Scotland lags behind Norway and Denmark in devolved policies, such as outdoor education, despite SNP leaders citing them as economic models.

While Scotland and Norway share cultural and geographical ties, and both are involved in North Sea energy cooperation, Norway’s unique history, fiscal discipline, and state ownership model make direct comparison unrealistic.

In summary:

With the above facts in mind, the assertion that ‘Scotland subsidises or props up the UK’ and that ‘North Sea oil subsidises the UK’ is simply not backed up by the hard, objective, verifiable, empirical facts.

The above data underlines the collective economic strength of being in the United Kingdom. The pooling and sharing of resources across the UK means that Scots currently benefit by £2,669 more per head in public spending than the UK average (the same is true for Ulster and Wales, which receive a similar-sized fiscal benefit from being in the UK), which equates to substantially more money for schools, hospitals, and other public services. Separating Scotland from the rest of the UK would mean the end of such fiscal transfers and so vastly less money for Scotland’s public services, coupled with ultra-austerity possibly for decades in order to finance the risible services that would exist (financed by vastly increased taxes), if they hadn’t been axed for being unaffordable.

The SNP needs to inform the public what separation would actually cost and what a new Scottish currency would be, its value, how much it would cost to fund and its impact on mortgages, wages, interest rates, among other questions, but it won’t. Why? Because the separatists know that they have no answers to offer, no viable plan for financing a separate Scotland and the objective, verifiable, empirical facts, as laid out conclusively in the GERS Report, which the SNP THEMSELVES produce and accept as entirely accurate, prove it.

Sources:

(1) 2023-24 Government Expenditure and Revenue Report Scotland (GERS): https://www.gov.scot/publications/government-expenditure-revenue-scotland-gers-2023-24/

(2) 2024-25 Government Expenditure and Revenue Report Scotland (GERS): https://www.gov.scot/publications/government-expenditure-revenue-scotland-2024-25/documents/

(3) Office for National Statistics (ONS) GDP data for all UK regions (I.e. Scotland, England (all counties), Wales and Ulster (‘Northern Ireland’): https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/regionaleconomicactivitybygrossdomesticproductuk/1998to2023

(4) House of Commons Library: London’s contribution to the National [UK] economy: https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/cdp-2025-0153/

Tax experts warn SNP pledge to devolve National Insurance ‘complicated and costly’ – The Scotsman

Inquiry announced into Scottish Government’s handling of public finances – STV News

Scotland has ‘pivotal’ role in post-election economic growth – Insider

Scottish Government debts have more than tripled to £2.2billion – The Sun

Delay to Scottish Government financial strategy ‘unacceptable’ – The Insider